The 49ers have the best defense in football and the numbers back it up

49ers (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images)
49ers (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images) /
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49ers (Photo by Lachlan Cunningham/Getty Images) /

Drives started inside offense’s 35-yard line

Team   Drives
 YDS Per Drive Punt % Score % TO % Downs % Missed FG% AVG Start
49ers 99 21.2 52.5% 15.2% 21.2% 10.1% 1.0% 21.5
  Patriots
112 21.6 52.7% 14.3% 21.4% 8.0% 1.8% 21.3
  League 2882 34.3 45.3% 32.9% 13.4% 4.8% 3.1% 21.7

Drives started inside offense’s 35-yard line & margin < 15

Team Drives
YDS Per Drive Punt % Score % TO % Downs % Missed FG% AVG Start
49ers 77 21.6 50.6% 16.9% 23.4% 7.8% 1.3% 21.8
Patriots
78 23.2 52.6% 17.9% 20.5% 3.8% 2.6% 21.3
League 2495 34.6 45.4% 33.7% 12.9% 4.2% 3.2% 21.6

I would argue the best assessment of a defense looks at drives beginning inside the offense’s 35-yard line when the game’s outcome is still uncertain. When you look at those possessions, it becomes harder to argue New England’s defense is superior.

The 49ers are once again allowing fewer yards per drive, scores at a lower rate, and forcing slightly more turnovers.

More from San Francisco 49ers

The Patriots continue to benefit from more missed field goals, although that could be a symptom of teams feeling forced to go for it on 4th down against San Francisco and failing more (as showcased by the four percent disparity in possessions ending in turnovers on downs).

At this point, it seems clear to me that the 49ers’ defense is at least on par with the Patriots. However, their ability to match the Patriots’ effectiveness on these drives is even more impressive when you realize they have done so while also being subjected to more difficult possessions because of turnovers.

The 49ers strength of schedule has been another major criticism of the team. So, I decided to compare San Francisco’s opponents with the Patriots. Have the 49ers been benefiting from playing a load of cupcakes on their schedule?