April 22, 2013; San Francisco, CA, USA; San Francisco Giants starting pitcher Ryan Vogelsong (32) delivers a pitch against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the first inning at AT

Vogelsong Looks To Get On Track Against Dodgers: Game Preview


On Saturday night, the San Francisco Giants will look to secure a series win against the Los Angeles after taking Game 1 on Friday night thanks in part to Buster Posey’s walk-off solo home run.

Ryan Vogelsong, who’s sub-par beginning to the 2013 season has draw some legitimate concerns, will look to bounce back against a Dodgers team that he’s dominated in the past. Vogelsong, sporting a 6.23 ERA, went 2-1 against the Dodgers last year. In those four starts, he compiled a 0.71 ERA in 25.1 innings, and in eight career starts, he’s 4-1 with a 2.08 ERA.

Vogelsong’s awful start to the season boils down to two factors: Poor command and the fact that his off-speed pitches are getting hit. Per Fan Graphs, opponents are hitting north of .300 of his two primary off-speed pitches–curveball and change-up. On top of that, he’s leaving all of his pitches up in the zone, which, well, never works out. Take a look at the locations of all his pitches on Texas Leaguers. Hitting sports is Vogelsong’s game. In 2013, he hasn’t played his game.

Luck hasn’t been on his side either. His BABIP (Batting average on balls in play) is .330. That figure will almost assuredly come back down to a normal level in his next few starts. But he’s not helping himself by stranding only 65.5 percent of the runners that reach against him.

Vogelsong will be opposed by Matt Magill, who made his major league debut last Saturday. Ted Lilly was intially expected to make the start, but he was sent to the DL with a rib cage injury.

In his first big league start, Magill pitched well, allowing only two runs in 6.2 innings of work. He didn’t factor in the decision despite departing with a 3-2 lead, but he struck out seven while issuing just two walks.

Notes:

  • The Dodgers placed Hanley Ramirez on the DL Saturday.
  • A.J. Ellis’ .375 batting average against the Giants is the third-highest mark among active players with at least 75 at-bats.
  • The Giants have 10 comeback victories in 2013, which is tied for the most in baseball.
  • San Francisco’s bullpen ERA (2.24) ranks second in the National League behind the Atlanta Braves
  • Adrian Gonzalez, who was originally in Saturday’s lineup, is a late scratch with ongoing neck problems.

 

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