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2013 NFL Draft: Predicting the Draft’s Four Biggest Busts

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Apr 25, 2013; New York, NY, USA; A general view of the NFL shield logo and main stage before the 2013 NFL Draft at Radio City Music Hall. Mandatory Credit: Jerry Lai-USA TODAY Sports

The NFL draft brings lots of stars and positively changes the futures of lots of teams, but it also brings unfortunate busts.

Lots of star college players, such as JaMarcus Russell, Tim Couch and Matt Leinart, ended up as NFL busts. Some players’ games don’t translate to the NFL, some don’t have the work ethic, and others don’t get the opportunity to play. There are a lot of good players in this draft class, but some will fail to live up to expectations.

Which players won’t fulfill their lofty expectations? Here are predictions for the four biggest busts of the 2012 NFL draft.

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Topics: 2013 NFL Draft, Buffalo Bills, Miami Dolphins, Minnesota Vikings, San Diego Chargers

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  • Tom Spalsbury

    We’ll see. He’s very happy being a Charger. And he’s gonna bring it. There’s NO bust here…

    • Baily Deeter

      There are lots of concerns about Te’o. He didn’t have a good 40, struggled against Alabama (an elite team) and will have the spotlight on him all year. He didn’t do too well when he needed to step up against Alabama and didn’t help himself at the combine. We’ll see.

      • BlueBoltFan

        So the 4 years of elite production prior to that mean nothing. The Alabama game and the scandal are all he is. No one’s saying he’s the next Ray Lewis but you’re projecting him as a bust. Like Te’o won’t make it in the NFL. Goofy. BTW, Te’o doesn’t have long speed, but his short area quickness (3 cone drill, 20 yard shuttle) measured better than Alec Ogletree.

        • Baily Deeter

          40 yards isn’t long, and he impressed no one with his speed or strength. Te’o produced in 2012 and has good instincts, but we’ve seen plenty of examples of good college players who struggled in the NFL.

          • BlueBoltFan

            I think you’re buying into the conventional wisdom a bit too much. Often when players get over-analyzed their flaws become all they are and the production gets forgotten. I think this is the case with Te’o. We shall see.

          • Baily Deeter

            You make a good point, but I just don’t see it in these players. It will be interesting. Thanks for commenting!

      • Tom Spalsbury

        Manti Te’o will be fine. They can’t say enough good things about him at Charger park.

  • Billy Schwandt

    I saved this so I can send back to you Baily when You see what a great player Sharrif Floyd will be!!!

    • Baily Deeter

      We’ll see. He has potential, but there are a lot of risks. Floyd never produced much and isn’t extremely gifted physically.

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Matthew-J-Bailey/1055197089 Matthew J Bailey

    Dion Jordan hurt his shoulder, not something that should have lingering concern. He needs to bulk up, certainly, but he is in a great situation. With Wake, Odrick, Vernon the Dolphins don’t NEED Jordan to be any every down player in 2013. He will be a rush-specialist as he builds up his body.

    I could name ten guys that are easily more of a risk just from the first round…

    And Floyd? If you did a “Four Players Most Certain To Have Impact” he would be on it. He won’t have guady stats, DT just don’t, but he’ll have a domino effect on the defense that will help everyone else on the line and the linebackers as well.

    I get Manual as a “projected bust” but Jordan and Floyd are as good as any bet in this draft.

    • Baily Deeter

      Jordan definitely needs to bulk up, and his durability concerns are perfectly legit. Jordan doesn’t absolutely need to play every down, but if he doesn’t play as much he won’t make a huge impact. I love his potential but see concerns.

  • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100004502435272 Jim Murphy

    Get in line to eat some crow on E.J. May play some this year. By 2014 he will be very comfortable with the speed of the game….

    • Baily Deeter

      I don’t know about that. He’s inaccurate, and I believe he’ll crumble under pressure.

  • NWBill

    You anti-EJ guys are gonna cringe next season, cause he’s the ONE guy who didn’t belong on this list! Accuracy problems? The guy threw at a 68% completion clip during his senior season! How many guys in the NFL throw at that level? Sure, he has some holes in his game – Tom Brady had enough holes in HIS game coming out of college not to be selected #1, so …. he has things to learn and work on. Guess what – THAT’S what rookie camp and your first years in the league are FOR! I don’t place a lot of faith in this discussion about this kid. Watch his game against Clemson last season. Watch him on ESPN with Jon Gruden. Take a look at his highlights on YouTube. If after all that you still think this guy can’t make it to the top level of QBs in the NFL, then move on to another sport ….. cause you’re just not getting this one.
    He showed enough to lead an NFL coach to BYPASS HIS OWN STARTER in college to order to draft him!!!! I feel for Nassib – but, if you look at the film on these two guys side by side – 9 out of 10 GMs and coaches are gonna do exactly what Buffalo did in this draft.
    EJ Manuel is a 6’5″, 240lb version of Russell Wilson – yes, you heard me right. Mark it down.
    Dion Jordan is the “bust-to-watch” from this draft; a limited position player, drafted by a team who’s running a defense that doesn’t match his skill set, and who has the added burden of being the guy that shocked practically everyone by being TRADED UP for! What a head-shaker!!!
    Let’s talk this time next year, after EJ has won Rookie of the Year, and Jordan will be buried on the Miami bench – assuming he’s even still on that team.

    • Baily Deeter

      E.J. has upside; true. However, he and Russell are very different. Wilson is much more accurate and allows his receivers to make plays, which will be key this year with Harvin and Rice (not that it relates to this topic). Wilson can scramble to avoid pressure and make a play on the run, which is what he did in a crucial situation against Atlanta. Manuel is much more likely to force a pass in that situation. I thought Buffalo would take Nassib at first, but he’s really not that great. Manuel is better than Nassib, that’s for sure. But this is a weak class, and Manuel will have trouble.

      I completely agree about Jordan. He’s physically gifted, but there are lots of concerns too. Thanks for commenting and bringing up good points throughout your argument.

      • NWBill

        “Manuel is much more likely to force a pass in that situation.”
        Guys who average 66% completions on their throws don’t “force” passes all that often; I wonder if you’re fixated on EJ’s EARLY college career, rather than his development as a junior and senior. Manuel shares a skill with Wilson, in that both tend to scramble AFTER working through their progressions – not just because of the pressure. That was especially the case with Manuel last season – again, watch the Clemson game highlights on YouTube, and see for yourself.
        I think that Buffalo got the best QB in an admitted fairly weak class – BUT, this class isn’t weak because of Manuel; it’s weak because of where the other QBs were eventually taken. I think that’s been amply demonstrated.
        Miami’s gonna regret the Jordan situation …. which is good news for Buffalo and the rest of the division. With the Jets in freefall, it’s looking – at least, VERY early – that the AFC East might be interesting with New England and Buffalo next season. NOT saying that the Bills are at that level, yet …. but they are definitely moving in the right direction. Plus – this is a team that has fought NE tooth and nail in the recent past; even with the wide disparity in talent between them. Those games ought to be fun to watch!

        • Baily Deeter

          It’s going to be interesting to watch. Manuel definitely can bust, though. He’s got some adjusting to do, and so do the Bills. Buffalo is going to be alright as time goes on, but things aren’t going o he pretty in 2013.

          • NWBill

            You’re assuming that he starts in 2013; I don’t. I happen to have a lot of faith in Kevin Kolb, because I remember watching him before he went to Arizona and got his bell rung so many times he should work for a church. The guy can play – and I think his biggest plus is that he doesn’t make pressure mistakes like Ryan Fitzpatrick did. HE WILL THROW THE BALL AWAY WHEN HE NEEDS TO. Someone should tell Tennessee that Fitz hasn’t quite learned that particular lesson yet. Unless EJ absolutely floors Marrone & Co. during the camps, the smart thing to do is start Kolb, and let EJ sit and learn. Throw him in there for 4 or 5 series a game, so he gets some experience … but Buffalo’s under NO compunction to start this guy, just because he’s a #1 pick (unlike some other teams I could mention). The fact that Buffalo sent Tavares Jackson packing tells you that EJ has impressed enough to be, at this point, the #2 QB on an NFL team. What does that say about him! Good things, I believe. Anyway, you’re right – it will be interesting to watch. Given the new offensive and defensive systems being put in place by the new staff, I think that the thing to watch – even more than EJ, at this point – is how the players jell in the new systems … and what production comes out of them. People talk about Chip Kelly’s offense in Philly as something to watch; I think Marrone and Hackett’s speed West Coast offense in Buffalo wll draw as much attention. And if EJ blossomes in it – all the better for Buffalo, and bad for the rest of the league!

  • NWBill
    • Baily Deeter

      Manuel was up there with the other top QBs in this weak class. That’s not a huge deal. He didn’t give space to his WRs and was terrible on deep balls. Manuel has a lot to work on under pressure, and while he has upside, there are concerns.

      • NWBill

        You call it a “weak” class because there’s no RGIII in it; I suggest you adjust your expectations and perceptions. Barkley is getting rave reviews in Philly, EJ has pretty much supplanted Tavares Jackson in Buffalo, and the rest of the class are in situations where we’re not going to see them much unless the starter on their team goes down. Manuel has one of the strongest arms of the past few years; he’s 6’5″ and 240lbs, for cripes’ sake! You’re talking about EJ the freshman and sophomore; NOT EJ the junior or senior (ESPECIALLY the senior)! He has a lot to work on under pressure? Again – did you see the Clemson game his senior year? Please! This guy impressed JON GRUDEN – do you know how many QBs – especially COLLEGE QBs – pull THAT off?!?! Watch Gruden’s show on ESPN when he had EJ on, and they were going through tapes of his games. I think you just like to poke the beehive with your “concerns,” but you’re way off base with this kid. Study his film, watch the Clemson game from his senior year, and then come back – we’ll talk, and you’ll tell me how wrong you now think you are about EJ.

  • Sean O’Reilly

    Really?? You pick Jordan over Ansah? Ansah is clearly the bigger risk wigh less production and football instincts coming from a smaller program

    • Baily Deeter

      Jordan’s durability concerns are key though. He has potential, but there’s a good chance of it going to waste. Thanks for commenting.

  • WL- Minneapolis

    As a DT, you’re not going to get the sacks a DE will. The thing about Sharrif Floyd is he has the talent and agility rush the passer and be disruptive in the backfield from the DT spot, not just stop the run, as most good DTs can do. The other thing about Floyd is that he is still getting better and has a lot of upside. My guess is that he’ll start out at NT, opposite Kevin Williams at DT. As for facing elite offensive interior linemen, not gonna happen in the NFC North.